Latest

Building a Snow Fort in 12 Feet of Snow at Crater Lake National Park

The boys and I had quite the adventure the other day digging a big snow fort up at Crater Lake National Park. We made a video of our adventure. Be sure to watch until the end :) https://youtu.be/UQSbXsKHics

The Importance of Starting Each Day Well

For the past month or so, a portion of my lawn has been slowly turning brown and a few small patches even dying. I’ve been putting a lot of work into having a nice green lawn for the kids to enjoy over the summer so it’s been very frustrating to watch. I started watering the lawn a second time later in the day because it was acting like it wasn’t getting enough water, but that still wasn’t doing the trick. I fertilized it, put grub killer on it, and spent far too much time racking my brain as to why the grass hasn’t been flourishing. This morning, Elijah told me that when he went to adjust ...

It takes life energy to pay off debts. A country that just continually gets in more debt and doesn’t even try to live within its means is a country that is ok with stealing the life of future generations to pay their debts for them. Why don’t politicians balance the budget? They are cowards that don’t care about the future generations. They only care about getting re-elected. We have somewhere between 12 and 15 years before all Social Security money is gone. The debt payments in a decade are going to be so massive, they will swallow up all entitlement spending at which point there wi...

The US is in a debt spiral. The federal budget deficit in 2023 could go over 2 trillion dollars and it's rapidly accelerating. There are basically two ways out for the US. Hard default on our debts or print money like crazy and buy our own debt, leading to significant inflation or worse. We almost certainly will go the path of printing. Sensing the gravity of the situation, other countries around the world are starting to distance themselves from the US dollar as it's on the path to debasement. Things to watch are oil and gas and other commodities around the world being traded in currencies...

Nostr

Nostr is a censorship resistant communication protocol. New iterations of social networks will be built on top of it and already have been. You will hear a lot more about Nostr in the years to come. Damus is the best iOS app for Nostr. Just don’t go to the global feed.  https://damus.io/ Nostr stats: https://nostr.band/stats.html To learn more: https://nostr.how/ You can find me at: npub1w9fty2lc7szxphqm78rhwvtal8pj6xt5mukdmdcpyg6tnf9ksfwquqzy6t meme by npub1j9m7uyf9225fapvx3p37q4mqzd7yegvqx8jf4rwh3xxlvsa4n22slf69fz

The Predictions Were Wrong, AI Will Disrupt Blue Collar Jobs Last

For the past 5-10 years, there have been a lot of predictions about how new technology and Artificial Intelligence would do away with blue collar jobs first. Those predictions were wrong, and it now looks like white collar jobs and even even some creative jobs will be the first to be disrupted. Sam Altman, the CEO of OpenAI spoke about how wrong people’s predictions have been in a recent interview with Reid Hoffman. “I think it’s interesting that if you ask people 10 years ago about how AI was going to have an impact, with a lot of confidence from most people, you would’ve heard, first,...

We are going to live with very high inflation or another great depression. Those are the options going forward. Reminder that the Fed is worthless and created this monstrosity with the enablement of our politicians the last several decades. 

Relations between the United States and China are about to get very frosty. Our sanctions we announced yesterday is going to crush their semiconductor industry with long-term implications. They will likely respond soon and weaponize something like rare earth metals. This is going to put us in a position where we will have to rapidly build out a lot of mining operations in North America to replace our lost access. Short term it could cause significant shortage of materials needed for electric car batteries etc.  United States environmental policy is going to have another capitulation moment soon. Watch for it.

I’m hearing reports that Nord Stream 2 might be ruined and not repairable. This could wipe out European manufacturing for years to come. I’m trying to comprehend the implications. Some of the manufacturing will never return as other countries will have to re-shore that area of manufacturing themselves. The primary beneficiaries of this event are at the moment China and the United States. 

EU generic drug makers are having to cut production because their energy costs went up by 10x. China will probably absorb most of the extra production. If only Europe could legislatate themselves more energy.  Now, China is going to have to decide whether or not to capitalize on the worlds energy misfortunes or try to take Taiwan. 

Just so you all know, I hope for everyone's sake that conflict in the world doesn't increase significantly tomorrow. As the father of 3 boys, I don't wish war upon anyone in the world. Sadly, as I look out over the geopolitical landscape, I see so many problems across the world where war is viewed as the solution that I believe escalation is inevitable at this point. For our part (US) I don't see behavior consistent with a power that wants to avoid war at all costs, in fact, I see the opposite. Just remember, every country will portray itself as innocent and others as the villains when the truth is always somewhere in between. Sober days.

The Music is Stopping

Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse, British pound, Japanese yen, G7 countries facing an emerging market style debt crisis… the music is stopping. The tide is going out. All the bubbles are bursting including the worldwide bond market. Worldwide depression likely, fiat currencies total collapse a possibility. Plus an energy crisis, food crisis, and rapid deglobalization. And we’re at the brink of a world war, possibly even nuclear war. I believe the last 20-30 years will be looked back upon as the peak of our decadence. I write this not to alarm or cause worry but for people to simply prepare....

avatar

GERMAN FINANCE MINISTER LINDNER: WE ARE IN A ENERGY WAR.

Sep 29, 2022

When bitcoins price drops, skeptics come out to dance on bitcoin‘s grave. Here is the trend of bitcoin crashes over the years.  2013 - from $260 to $50 2014 - from $900 to $300 2017 - from $19000 to $3000 2019 - from $13000 to $6500 2022 - from $69,000 to $17000 Clever bitcoin traders get wrecked and shaken out of the market during the drops. Simple bitcoin holders with conviction and patience are slowly rewarded because of math and fiat money printing/debasement. 🤝

American Rescue Plan is correct. Americans will be rescued when they are driven to #bitcoin  because of the Federal Reserve's money-printing shenanigans.

Central Banks have lost control of the beast they've created. They printed too much money, (40% of the supply in the past 2 years) and now inflation is out of control on top of the governments they serve being in debt up to their eyeballs, which will fuel continuous money printing forever until the currencies are worthless on their own, or people totally lose faith. At 8% inflation (stated) you lose half your money every 10 years. So basically can't save in cash. Based on better measurements, inflation is likely 16% or more, so you lose half your money every 5 years. Pretty wild th...

Video on Moses' Coding Journey and Update On Our Startup

Moses just released a video he made with his younger brother Elijah sharing about his journey learning to code these past several years along with an update on the software project he and I have been building. https://youtu.be/kPhiGebwtEM